This is a sketch of a short book explaining the many ways that economics misleads students (and misinforms policy discussions) by failing to reveal the assumptions behind the theory.
- Part 1: Strange Ideas of Standard Economic Theory (SET)
- Interpersonal comparisons are impossible
- SET: Do I like cherry pie more than you like a poke in the eye — there’s no way of knowing.
- The worst possible society is optimal and perfectly efficient
- Idi Amin owned everything in Uganda — SET: that’s Pareto Optimal, which is by definition economically efficient.
- OK it’s a mathematically consistent theory, but is it any basis for scientific understanding, or is it just good for ideologues?
- All humans are sociopaths
- SET: Their behavior is described by utility functions, which by definition cannot contain any information about others.
- Hence people can only care about themselves — they cannot have a conscience. That’s the basic definition of a sociopath.
- The pinnacle of microeconomics is a pair of math theorems.
- No part of physics is a math theorem, and math works far better in that science than in economics.
- We know they are just math theorems because they are mathematically true, but false for human societies.
- Preferences are consistent therefore people can predict the future.
- Economists define “rational” to mean consistent preferences.
- SET says that since our preferences are (fairly) rational, we must have “rational expectations.”
- The two ideas are unrelated, but this proof by innuendo is used because, in most cases, there is not a shred of evidence for rational expectations.
- If everyone’s productivity goes up, their marginal products go down, so we pay them less, and that’s what they deserve.
- More productivity is equivalent to increasing the supply of labor.
- So the wage (price of labor) goes down, and marginal product equals the wage.
- But this has nothing to do with “deserve.”
- Interpersonal comparisons are impossible
- Part 2: Some theories of non-sociopathic behavior
- Part 3: Why the fundamental welfare theorems are not science
- Part 4: Why SET rationality (sociopathy) is not such a good thing
- SET rationality is sociopathic behavior (this does not mean violent).
- Sociopaths are poor cooperators
- The rational behavior in a repeated prisoner’s dilemma is total non-cooperation.
- But real people cooperate quite a lot, because they are not sociopaths — because they are not SET rational.
- There are many, many other situations in which “non-rational” players do better than SET rational players.
- This has large-scale (macro) implications as well a micro implications
- Conclusion: We should try to help people be more rational in some ways, but should not try to make them SET rational.
- Part 5: Why actual human behavior is not such a good thing either
- Predictable mistakes
- Keeping up with the Joneses
- War
- Part 6: Policy implications
- Nudges
- Taxing negative behavioral externalities
- Safety nets
- Cooperative treaties